Sports betting tips & systems (and even some free picks) based on academic research and contrarian approaches.
Saturday, May 28, 2011
Saturday Free Pick - MLB 5/28/11
We're going with a rare play -- by taking the Phillies -1.5 over the Mets (using the run-line). Cole Hamels is rejuvenated -- and Pelfrey is still off. This looks like a total mismatch -- but since the Mets are at home, the odds are not very long for the Phillies. Oftentimes, when a game "LOOKS" like a mismatch, there is value on the dog, but our baseball computer model likes the Phillies better than the listed odds.
We like the value on the Phillies; however, we still don't like laying the heavy odds -- so we are taking the run line. - cb