Saturday, May 28, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - MLB 5/28/11

We're going with a rare play -- by taking the Phillies -1.5 over the Mets (using the run-line). Cole Hamels is rejuvenated -- and Pelfrey is still off.  This looks like a total mismatch -- but since the Mets are at home, the odds are not very long for the Phillies.  Oftentimes, when a game "LOOKS" like a mismatch, there is value on the dog, but our baseball computer model likes the Phillies better than the listed odds.

We like the value on the Phillies; however, we still don't like laying the heavy odds -- so we are taking the run line. - cb