Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Super Bowl 47

The big game is approaching, and I will be on the San Francisco 49ers.  Some analysts point to the Ravens' momentum, but I don't see that besides a few big wins in the playoffs.  Anything can happen in a small sample size, but I believe we'll see a reversion to the mean -- and see a blowout win for the 49ers.

San Francisco has been consistently good this season, and I believe we may see a blowout win like we used to see in the 80's and 90's.  Here are some books I have helped to write.

Wednesday, January 2, 2013

2013 BCS: Alabama vs. Notre Dame

As we near this year's BCS Championship game, there are plenty of story lines.  We like Alabama to win big in this game.  We'll wait for some of our regular sources, to add to our analysis and level of betting, but we definitely prefer the Crimson Tide.  Sure, Notre Dame is undefeated and eked out Alabama to have the best defense in the nation.  However, Alabama also has one of the nation's best offenses, while ND's offense is below average.

The ND "D" might be able to hold off Alabama more than most teams.  We see the teams evenly-matched on D -- BUT Alabama's O is much better than Notre Dame's.  Some would say that Alabama's stats are even under-rated due to Coach Saban not running up the score.  

Alabama has two 1,000 yard rushers and a QB with a 173 QB rating.  Notre Dame, of course, is not a pushover, but Alabama has been winning big for several years.

In terms of sports marketplace action, there are indications of syndicates taking Alabama to roll over Notre Dame.  Most bets are on ND, but the line has become extended in Alabama's favor.

Read more here (will add more as we come across good articles):