Sunday, October 30, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - NFL 10/30/11

Our free play of the weekend is in the NFL.  We like Miami plus the big points (+10/+10.5) over the Giants due to public sentiment being all over the Giants.  Miami is suffering through a winless season, and the media blitz swirling around the team has created some value.  Also, the Giants do not seem as strong as the ten-point spread ...  Take the Dolphins plus the points.

Note that this play agrees with the Sports Insights Marketwatch column.

Saturday, October 22, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - CF 10/22/11

In a late game today, we are on Mich St +8 over Wisky.  We will continue to post free plays and other information at least once or twice a week.  Our readers particularly like information on Saturday / Sunday.  Thanks for visiting!

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 10/19/11

Based on the "Who Will Win...?" analysis -- we like the Texas Rangers in the World Series -- and especially in Game 1 of the World Series, where the Ranger are getting plus moneyline odds while visiting St. Louis.

Last year these factors correctly predicted that the San Francisco Giants would beat the Texas Rangers. So how do the Cardinals and Rangers fare in analyzing their championship characteristics?

Pitching Leadership

In baseball, top starting pitchers are a good indicator of success during baseball’s playoff series. In particular, the finalist with the better top of the rotation, measured by total wins by its top two pitchers, has won 70 percent of the World Series over the past 22 years (not including 1994, when there was no postseason). 

Full article at NY Times:

Book's Blog:

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - NFL 10/16/11

Our free pick today is on the St. Louis Rams +15.5.  I think there is a good chance that the Rams can stay within the huge point spread.  Green Bay is being hyped up as the NFL's best -- especially with the Patriots' loss a few weeks back...  Take the points!  

Sunday, October 9, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - MLB 10/9/11

On an NFL Sunday, we are going with a baseball pick.

We LOVE the value on the Cardinals today. We like the juicy moneyline odds on the visiting Card... Also, we like this analysis from the "Who Will Win" authors.

Overall, the factors lean to the Cardinals with their big team batting average. 

Saturday, October 8, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - CF 10/8/11

It's a busy college football day -- so we will go with a play on perhaps the biggest game of the day: OK at Texas.  We like Texas at home getting +11 points.  The public does not -- so we are seeing some line value and line movement.

Please check out my book on some of the betting trends I look at:

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Thursday Free Pick - NHL 10/6/11

In honor of the NHL season starting, our free play of the day is a hockey play.  We are taking Philly, visiting Boston, partly due to this nice bit of research over at

SportsInsights updated its research on betting against the public in the NHL that uses it's betting percentages.


Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 10/4/11

Detroit surprisingly, to some, is up 2 games to 1 against the Yankees.  We like the Under in this game -- due to the pressure involved in this game.  In addition, the total has edged up to 10 -- so we also like the line value.   

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - NFL 10/2/11

Based on the betting percentages at SportsInsights (as well as their Marketwatch info) -- I agree with the Jaguars +7.5 pick.  I like the value; the fear of a Saints blowout gives me added comfort on this play!

Saturday, October 1, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - CF 10/1/11

We are taking Florida +5 based on the home field advantage and the public being all over Alabama.  Some good value there today!  -cb