Wednesday, August 31, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 8/31/11

We'll take Seattle in a late game today based on anti-public sentiment.  - cb

Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 8/30/11

We like the line value on Seattle tonight in a late game over the Angels.  Public sentiment is on LAA, and the line has moved 10 pts.  Take the Mariners and Vasquez at home with the plus odds and line movement/value. 

Monday, August 29, 2011

Monday Free Pick - NFL 8/29/11

We like the pts on the key-3 on the Jets.  Getting the Jets (shop for this line, it is available at the time of this writing) -- has some solid value as the Jets are the better team.  The Jets will look to build on this momentum as they prepare for the season to start.  - jc & cb    

Sunday, August 28, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - NFL 8/28/11

We are looking for Drew Brees and the Saints to get closer to regular season form and cover the four points in today's game.  In preseason play, we often look for motivation -- and the Saints will want to bounce back after last week's loss.   - jc

Saturday, August 27, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - MLB (3 in a row) 8/27/11

We're looking for three wins in a row.  We're taking the UNDER in the Verlander game today.  You can still grab under 7.5 -- right above the pseudo-key number of 7 in totals for baseball.   - cb

Friday, August 26, 2011

Friday Free Pick - NFL 8/26/11

I am staying with the NFL and hoping to build upon yesterday's Eagles' win.  I like the Colts plus a load of pts -- at home in the preseason.  There has been talk of "panic" for the Manning-less Colts -- but injuries and over-reations -- could lead to value on the Colts.   Take the Colts + 9 pts; watch the line, it could even tick up...  - cb

Thursday, August 25, 2011

Thursday Free Pick - NFL 8/25/11

Seven points is a lot in the pre-season -- but we are looking for the Eagles to bounce back after their loss last week.  The team has a bit of a mis-match vs. the Cleveland Browns -- and we look for a "statement" performance to get ready for a potential Super Bowl (or at least playoff-bound) season.  -cb  

Wednesday, August 24, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 8/24/11

In a late game, I am taking the UNDER 7 in the LAA-Weaver game.  I like having the safety of the 7 landing spot as a push.  Weaver and Verlander are having a great year -- and I like the Under as the season starts winding down.  - jc

Tuesday, August 23, 2011

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 8/23/11

Verlander got us on the winning side again -- and at decent odds.  Today, we're going with "ugly" pitchers -- with a total of 11 runs (!!) -- and we are taking the Cubs at home.  In baseball, we like high totals with our typical underdog plays because it adds to uncertainty in games.  We also like the line value in this play.  - cb & jc 

Monday, August 22, 2011

Monday Free Pick - MLB 8/22/11

Today, we like Verlander -- who has been just remarkable this season.  The odds are not huge -- because Verlander is visiting TB.  However, with the Rays' weak offense -- Verlander will probably throw a great game.  It goes without saying that the pitching match-up is on Detroit's side.   - jc & cb

Sunday, August 21, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - WNBA 8/21/11

We are looking for 3 wins in a row -- and taking big dog Washington in the WNBA.  Washington is getting +11.5 pts visiting Indiana.  - jc

Saturday, August 20, 2011

Sports Investing Books -- discounted

The sports books I have been involved with -- are currently being discounted at the publisher's E-Store.  Just use the code 7D3S3CF2 to receive 25% off of the sports investing books.

There are codes for the publisher's other titles on games & children's books.    

Saturday Free Pick - MLB 8/20/11

We are looking to continue on our winning ways -- with a play on KC & Paulino over the Red Sox & a seemingly ageless Wakefield.  We like the home field advantage -- as well as the fact that Wakefield IS aging!  The Red Sox have also been red hot -- so we like the value of public sentiment on the Red Sox.  Take the Royals.  - cb & jc 

Friday, August 19, 2011

Friday Free Pick - MLB 8/18/11

We're looking to get back on track with a play on Wandy Rodriguez and Houston at home.  Wandy has been pitching solidly, so we like the plus odds at home, vs. the Giants.  Vogelsong has been unconscious, with a 2.5 ERA -- but we like the odds and the potential reversion to the mean scenario.  - jc 

Thursday, August 18, 2011

Thursday Free Pick - MLB 8/18/11

We are taking the developing Humber and the Chicago White Sox today.  Humber is developing into a very solid pitcher and may continue to surprise bettors.  Take Humber and the Sox at home.  - jc

Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 8/16/11

I like getting David Price, TB pitching ace -- as a slight underdog (!!) -- visiting the Red Sox.  This is a case of a big edge on the mound -- but watered down by home edge for the Sox plus an anemic offense for the Rays.  With the Red Sox gaining headlines with their pennant chase (vs. the Yankees) -- there is also some value on taking a non-public team (and betting against the big name Sox).

Note that this is an early afternoon game.  - jc

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 8/16/11

We're going to take Seattle and Vargas, at home -- in a late game.  Early line movement showed signs of smart money and syndicates on Seattle - so we're grabbing that early  - jc

Monday, August 15, 2011

Monday Free Pick - MNF 8/15/11

Ahh: the joy of typing, "MNF!"

Monday Night Football is back -- even if it IS pre-season.  We are going with the Jets tonight.  After several years of being "close" to the Super Bowl, Jet coach Rex Ryan may want to push that last notch forward -- and get a kickstart in the pre-season.

In the pre-season, motivation often can drive results.  And taking the Jets, plus the pts +2.5 (although off of the key-3) has some value.  

Sunday, August 14, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - MLB 8/14/11

Today, we are going with Florida -- at home with Volstad on the mound.  Volstad has had a difficult year, with a 5.58 ERA and 5-8 record (and 1.51 WHIP) -- but his .319 BABIP tells us he might be a bit unlucky this year...  His numbers are still generally okay -- and we look for him to revert to his pre-2011 numbers a bit.  Thus, we like the value on Volstad, at home.  He's just 24 years old, so there is huge upside surprise potential.  

Saturday, August 13, 2011

Saturday Free Pick - NFL 8/13/11

We're taking the Colts plus the 7 points in this pre-season NFL match-up.  While that the St. Louis Rams want to show signs of  a good team under new offensive coordinator, we like the big pts on the Colts.  Also, the Colts are a playoff contender for a reason (even if they have nothing to prove in this game).  - jc

Friday, August 12, 2011

Sports Investing Books -- NFL Preseason has started!

With the NFL Pre-season underway, please check out these books that I have been involved with -- in terms of research, angles, and some writing.

This book focuses on approaches for the NFL.

This book is more general but talks about "investing" in the sports marketplace in general.  Good, contrarian, "sports investing" approaches that will help you improve your handicapping results.

Friday Free Pick - MLB 8/12/11

On Friday, we are going with Nolasco, at home for Florida, against SF.  Nolasco has had a good year -- and we like the plus odds, at home, for Florida as "live dogs."  jc & cb

Thursday, August 11, 2011

Thursday Free Pick - NFL 8/11/11

The NFL is back -- even if it is the pre-season -- we will take Arizona + the 3.5 points in tonight's late game.  Key numbers can be an important factor in the NFL -- and we like getting that +3.5 pts in a pre-season game.   - jc

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 8/10/11

We are going with Minny at home today over the Red Sox.  If you are scanning the board, note that there are two early afternoon MLB games.  The Minn game is in the evening -- and we like the home field edge combined with another bet against a "public team" (Red Sox).  - cb

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 8/9/11

LAA ace Haren is going up against the Yankees today.  Although the Yankees are at home, we like the line value (LAA moved from a very slight dog to a larger dog with line value of about +15 from the Pinnacle open).  We'll go with Haren and his 12-6 record and 0.97 WHIP.  We also like betting against the big public teams like the Yankees.   jc & cb

Monday, August 8, 2011

Monday Free Pick - MLB 8/8/11

Today, we are going with an ugly play -- but we are making use of the home bias -- and taking the O's at home against the CWS.  Line value also comes into play, so grab the value on the O's.  - jc

Sunday, August 7, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - MLB 8/7/11

We are taking another home, value play -- with Florida grabbing some line value against the visiting Cards.  This game is seeing relatively heavy betting action, so watch the line -- and grab if the line looks to be reverting back towards Florida.  

Saturday, August 6, 2011

Sports Investing Books

I have been involved in several book projects to help sports bettors improve their results.  These are not get-rich methods -- but years of historical data and statistical research have shown that these approaches can yield a measurable edge.

These betting tips and strategies can be used as a stand-along approach -- or can be used to add an additional edge to your own handicapping. 

There are short, focused, books on college football -- and professional football -- as well as an overview on the approaches in a more general (but longer) book.  The books have been popular best-sellers on Amazon within their category of Sports>Gambling.

With the football season nearing, the books have been selling again.  Good luck! 

Saturday Free Pick - MLB 8/6/11

We like the Bosox, at home, in this great rivalry match-up against the Yankees.  Some of the key factors for why we like the Sox:

  • In a big rivalry, emotions can play a large role and make anything happy.
  • The Red Sox at big odds, and
  • at home, is typically a good value.  
- jc

Friday, August 5, 2011

Friday Free Pick - MLB 8/5/11

Today's value play is on the SF Giants at home.  The Phillies have been red-hot -- just like Worley -- creating value on the Giants and Sanchez.  We like the "plus" money line odds on the Giants -- as the "pendulum" is bound to swing the other way.  - jc & cb 

Thursday, August 4, 2011

Thursday Free Pick - MLB 8/4/11

Yesterday, the line value play (based on public sentiment) got us back on the right track -- and we're going with a similar play today.  We're taking a pitcher we have gone with lately -- P Humber and the CWS at home -- against the "mighty" Yankees.  Most people like the Yankees, and the line has been bid up -- so grab the line value.  You may want to watch the line -- as steady betting on the Yankees could create even more value.  -jc


With football season coming up -- sales of my book have been increasing again.  Last year was a standout year for college football & the NFL.  Please click on my book to the left for more information about the NFL book (and links to the NCAA Football book).

Wednesday, August 3, 2011

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 8/3/11

Today, we are going with Lyles on the mound for Houston at home.  Public opinion is strongly on the Reds with D. Willis on the mound -- and we like the line movement and live value due to everyone jumping on the Reds.  Take Houston at home and the nice + odds.    - jc

Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Tuesday Free Play - MLB 8/2/11

LET'S START A LONGGGGGGGG winning streak by taking MIL -125.  MIL is powerful at home -- and should take this with ease.  We like the home value.  -cb

Monday, August 1, 2011

Monday Free Play - Mets 8/1/11

I LOVE  the METS AT HOME TODAY....Mets look to recuperate after road losses to Nats.  Look for bounce-back and "revert-to-the-mean" value today.  - cb