Sunday, January 22, 2012

2012 NFL Conference Championships

In today's AFC & NFC Championship games, we like San Francisco and Baltimore to beat the spread -- and perhaps even for Baltimore to advance to the Super Bowl against SF.  New England is an interesting story; they have looked old and weaker earlier in the season, but then finished strongly -- but against an over-rated and generally weak schedule.  Thus, we like Baltimore a lot in the AFC game.

In the NFC game, we think it can potentially be a blowout -- for a strong 49er team with the top-ranked NFL defense -- against an over-achieving Giant team.  Here are some links to info we like:

Monday, January 9, 2012

BCS Game: #1 LSU vs. #2 Alabama

We like Alabama in the big game tonight. It will be interesting to see how the #1 defense (Alabama) does... but I like them! Also check out the Who Will Win analysis.

Saturday, January 7, 2012

Free Play: NFL Wildcard Weekend (1/7/12)

Happy New Year!

Here's a nice mention of the Sports Investing Books at Sports Insights -- plus a great betting angle.  We like Atlanta as well.

Please take a look at Sports Insights’ series of books on Sports Investing that highlight some of the sports betting trends that we look at — that drive our betting strategies — and have helped create seven years of winning NFL plays.

With the playoffs starting, there are fewer games on the board, so we called one of our offshore line managers.  He had the Falcons-Giants game circled and said, “Some early sharps are on the Falcons and that pushed the line towards the Falcons even though the smaller bettors are on the Giants.”

The betting percentages are not as lopsided as we would like, but we like the “smart money line movement” especially on the huge key number of three (3). 

Read more here: