BCS -- take the points

In this year's BCS game, I like Auburn and the points.  Too many people are expecting a blowout for Florida State.  Although the public is more on Auburn than I would like, I like the fact that Auburn played a much tougher schedule than Florida State.

I looked up some stats -- and this is the widest spread in terms of strength of schedule (SOS) ever in a BCS national championship game.  AND -- when there has been a reasonable spread in terms of SOS, the team that played the tougher schedule has gone 4-0 or 5-1, depending on the spread you look at...

Look for a closer game than expected and take the points.    

Thursday Free Pick - NHL 10/6/11

In honor of the NHL season starting, our free play of the day is a hockey play.  We are taking Philly, visiting Boston, partly due to this nice bit of research over at SportsInsights.com.

SportsInsights updated its research on betting against the public in the NHL that uses it's betting percentages.

  

Thursday Free Play - CFB 9/15/11

Kershaw and the Dodgers got us back on the winning track.  Today, we are going with a college football play and taking Miss. St at home.  The betting percentage is greater than 80% on LSU so we will take the other side and take the home dog.