Sunday, February 13, 2011

Sunday Free Pick - NBA 2/13/11

Today, I am going with a pick in the NBA: the big Miami-Boston game.  I like Boston for a few reasons, some of which are mentioned in my blog post on sports betting tips I wrote earlier today.

In particular, I like Boston, currently getting +2.5 at several books at home (!!) because:

  • Public sentiment is on a red-hot Miami Heat team.  Since the Heat started the season barely above .500, they have put together the best record in the NBA.  
  • Boston has been cold lately, but look for them to be "up" for this game.
  • The line opened at Boston -1 at CRIS, but public sentiment quickly pushed the line to Miami as a favorite, and has continued to push the line to Boston +2.5.  I like that kind of line value.