I like Wandy Rodriguez & Houston over Milwaukee and Randy Wolf today. Big Wandy normally K's almost 200 batter a year -- and he still has that kind of "stuff." He's also been pitching a bit better lately -- and I look for him to start returning to form...
On the other hand, Wolf has been hot, and perhaps he will "revert to the mean" as well. I like Houston and Wandy at home -- as a solid home dog.
Sports betting tips & systems (and even some free picks) based on academic research and contrarian approaches.
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Friday, April 29, 2011
Friday Free Pick - MLB 4/29/11
I am taking the UNDER in the MLB Grand Salami. 130 runs in 15 games: the weight of many games on the under and some stud pitchers...
Have a good weekend.
Have a good weekend.
Thursday, April 28, 2011
NBA Betting Tips
I thought this was a good article by SportsInsights. Some good info and betting tips.
For the whole article:
http://blog.sportsinsights.com/2011/04/sports-betting-tips-nba-sportsinsights/
Below are some betting tips that came to mind when looking at last night’s results.
- We often talk about playoffs, games on national TV, and other “big games” — where the edge in sports investing and contrarian value seems to be magnified. Here is a SportsInsights article on this “big game” trend (as well as other betting tips).
- The lines are often biased against the public to increase sportsbook profit margins; the link points to aneconomist’s view of “how and why” point spreads are shaded.
- Point spreads are often “sharp” — so that if you “Shop for the best line” — you can improve your results. Last night’s Memphis-San Antonio game is a prime example. If you shopped for the best line, you would either push or beat the point spread, depending on your side. The line was waffling between Memphis +6.5 and +7 — and the game landed on +7.
For the whole article:
http://blog.sportsinsights.com/2011/04/sports-betting-tips-nba-sportsinsights/
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