Thursday Free Pick - MLB 7/7/11

We like the value -- based on misleading stats --  on the KC Royals and Danny Duffy today.  Detroit starter Max Scherzer is a misleading 9-4.  While he is a decent pitcher, his win-loss record is inflating public sentiment on Detroit in today's game.  KC pitcher D. Duffy is just 22 years old -- so he is inconsistent -- but shows promise.  We'll take KC & Duffy at home today -- with nice moneyline odds of around +120.  - jc