Monday Free Pick - NFL 11/14/11

We like the huge points in tonight's Monday Night Football Game.  Try and grab the key +14 if you can, but we like the large point spread anyway in this big rivalry.  Green Bay has been the best in the NFL by far, but most teams this year have been showing that anything can happen!  Take the big points and the dog!  

Sunday Free Pick - NFL 10/16/11

Our free pick today is on the St. Louis Rams +15.5.  I think there is a good chance that the Rams can stay within the huge point spread.  Green Bay is being hyped up as the NFL's best -- especially with the Patriots' loss a few weeks back...  Take the points!  

Saturday Free Pick - CFB 9/17/11

Today is College Football Saturday, and our favorite pick of the day is  No. Ill +17.5 over Wisky.  This is one of the heaviest-bet games of the day - and we like the +17.5 points you can grab.  As mentioned in our book on college football betting trends, we like games with a lot of betting activity -- as well as home dogs -- with lopsided-betting activity.  

Sunday Free Pick - WNBA 8/21/11

We are looking for 3 wins in a row -- and taking big dog Washington in the WNBA.  Washington is getting +11.5 pts visiting Indiana.  - jc

Sunday Free Pick - WNBA 7/17/11

We're going with the big double-digit dog value in women's hoops -- and taking Tulsa +12 over the NY Liberty.  The game has a late afternoon start (eastern time).   - cb

NBA & NHL Playoff Betting Tips

Here are some bettng tips and some interesting information on the NBA and NHL playoffs.  First, in the NBA:

• I generally like big underdogs -- and the NBA playoffs are no exception.  
• SportsInsights recently commented on big dogs in the NBA playoffs (and their solid performance so far in the playoffs).
• With the dogs making such a strong showing, there's a chance that the pendulum has swung too far.  I will be looking to see if the favorites are showing some hints of (surprising) value.  

In the NHL:

• Early low-scoring and hard-checking playoff games have given way to more scoring over recent games.  The pendulum swings both ways and you have to keep an eye on value.  The Big Salami totals have shrunken, leading to potential value again on the Over.
• In the NHL, there is a bias to visitors -- and we will be watching this trend as the playoff series extend.  That is, heavy home favorites (for the higher-rated seeds) are switching to games that are more "even" as the lower-rated seeds get home ice.  
• I will be watching for value on visitors in these "closer" games.

Friday Free Pick 3/11/11

Going with a college basketball play today.  San Jose St +14.5, a contrarian value:  big dog -- where public sentiment is on the big favorite.

Wednesday Free Pick - 3/9/11

After reading the WSJ article earlier today (on big dogs for college hoops at this time of the season), it made me want to find a big underdog that the public hates.

I am going with Texas Tech +10 (and hoping for more later!) over Missouri.