Thursday Free Pick - MLB 8/18/11

We are taking the developing Humber and the Chicago White Sox today.  Humber is developing into a very solid pitcher and may continue to surprise bettors.  Take Humber and the Sox at home.  - jc

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 6/1/11

We're going for three wins in a row today. Today, we are going with a good, live, young arm -- in 26-year old Josh Tomlin. He has a lifetime 1.1 WHIP and is pitching for first place Cleveland.

We like youth, and the upside (value) of Tomlin -- on a potentially under-rated Indian team -- and especially the plus moneyline odds on Cleveland, visiting Toronto.

Sunday Free Pick - MLB 5/1/11

After a cold spell, we are now gunning for 3 wins in a row.  Today, I am on Bud Norris & Houston, at home.

Houston has gotten off to a slow start, but their offense has been equal to Milwaukee's.  And, I particularly like the pitching match-up -- with a younger, and potentially better starter in Norris over Milwaukee's Narveson.  So -- the edges for us include:

• Home team
• pitching match-up
• underdog value
• slow start for Houston (and revert to mean)

Wednesday Free Pick - MLB 4/27/11

I am on Houston today with JA Happ, a young pitcher who has started this season slowly -- but has a 20-12 lifetime record and 3.5 ERA.  The public likes St. Louis -- and this has added some line value.

Happ & Houston are a live dog with solid value.

Tuesday Free Pick - MLB 4/26/11

I am on Cincy and Leake today.  Leake is a solid young pitcher -- and his "brush with the law" -- may help him stay focused (and regain his form from a year ago).

Leake's last few starts show that he may "be back" -- and in particular, his last start shows that his "troubles" may impact him in a positive way.

Sunday Free Pick - MLB 4/24/11

I am taking Seattle and a good young pitcher, D. Fister, at home -- over Oakland and another good, young pitcher (B. Anderson).  Both are solid pitchers -- and I like getting + odds with Fister and Seattle at home.

Happy holidays!