March Madness: Duke

I like to find value in the sports marketplace, but sometimes I think that even the media and fan favorites will take it. I like Duke -- and think (hope) that Butler's Cinderella story comes to an end. Coach K has not brought home a Final Four Championship in a few years -- but I think he does it here.

The sports psychology factors below, include factors such as coaching and experience. This can be key.

Here is analysis from Who Will Win...

http://whowillwinthebiggame.blogspot.com/2010/04/march-madness-final-four.html

Super Bowl - Saints

I like the Saints for several reasons. I think that the Saints are actually better than the Colts. The Colts captured a lot of media -- and public -- attention with their run at a perfect season. Although they a few "meaningless" games at the end of the season, many consider them "perfect."

The Saints have put up some monster numbers and are a truly "live dog."

Public sentiment is clearly on the veteran Colts, but there seems to be value on the Saints. In addition, I found this sports psychology angle to be interesting:

http://www.sportsinsights.com/bookreviews/book_granat_and_chin_2010.aspx

Sports Betting Websites I like

As we start a new year, and as we get this blog started, I thought I would share a few of my favorite websites.

• Covers.com is a great website. Lots of content and articles, some of the best sports betting forums on the internet -- and great stats. In particular, this is the first site I go to when I want to study value and performance against the spread.
• Sportsinsights.com is also a site I use a lot. Their betting percentages and research are great tools. I use their betting percentages to get a feel for "public perception" and "public sentiment." These are some of the best tools out there -- and after years studying the sports gambling world -- might be one of the best edges available. The edge is not much -- but it is "real."

Good luck.