Super Bowl 49: Seattle and Under

I haven't been posting as often, but it is SUPER BOWL time!  I like Seattle and the Under in this year's Super Bowl.

• The public is on New England to the tune of almost three out of every four bets.  
• The Patriots have been hot and even with DeflateGate, many think that Belichick's Patriots are just too smart; a step ahead of the rest.  
• As usual, I like value -- and love last year's champs with the point or as a moneyline play.  
• The Patriots hot streak since the first third of the season may represent value.  
• For those interested in a "flyer" -- I would take the Seahawks in a blowout.  Seattle "big" and the under -- can be parlayed.  

Some analysis I like:

• From the Sporting News: The "Linemakers" columns states that the sharps are on Seattle and the Under.
• Sports psychology angle I like because they offer a different edge -- are on Seattle.
• If you are in a Square Pool, here are some interesting probabilities.  

Final Four - 2014 March Madness

In today's semifinal games, I like U-Conn +7 and the Under 127.  Some decent points for an expected low-scoring game.

In the later game, I like Kentucky -1 (line has ticked down to -1 at some books!) and Over 138.5.  It's been a great tournament as usual, and I am psyched for today's games.

Super Bowl Pool

I love pools -- so check this out: Square Pool Odds -- by quarter!  Hope I get that 0, 3 or 4!

http://www.rantsports.com/nfl/2014/01/27/2014-super-bowl-square-pool-probabilities-by-quarter/

I will have my Super Bowl picks up in a few days.  I can tell you that I am on the under!